We noted last month that the “1.6722/54 represents a significant region of resistance and is defined by multiple longer-term key Fibonacci levels and the 2011 high. The pair has continued to respect this barrier on a close basis with the high close coming in exactly at 1.6742. We’ll be looking for the weekly/monthly opening ranges to form below this threshold with a break of said range likely to offer further guidance on a near-term bias heading into March trade.”
The pair has continued to respect this region since the start of March trade with a clean weekly opening range now in view. Our immediate focus is against the 1.6754/58 resistance level which comes in just above the weekly high with a move/close below the 1.6653/58 support structure shifting our bias to the short side. Such a scenario would suggest that a more significant correction off the February high is under way. That said, it’s important to note that the broader trend remains weighted to the topside and a breach/close above 1.6758 puts long-side right back into play.
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